Jongejan RMC

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Research and development

Jongejan Risk Management Consulting BV is actively involved in applied scientific research in the field of quantitative risk assessment and probabilistic design. A selection of recent publications is shown on the right.

Jongejan, R., Drosos, V., Giannakou, A., Chacko, J., Tasiopoulou, P., Zuideveld-Venema, N., De Wit, S., Huissoon, H. (2018). Probabilistic Assessments of Flood Defence Performance Subject to Induced Seismicity. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, November. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-0521-7.

Ranasinghe, R., Jongejan, R. (2018). Climate Change, Coasts and Coastal Risk. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 6 (4): 141. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse6040141.

Dastgheib, A., Jongejan, R., Wickramanayake, M., Ranasinghe, R. (2018). Regional Scale Risk-Informed Land-Use Planning Using Probabilistic Coastline Recession Modelling and Economical Optimisation: East Coast of Sri Lanka. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 6(4): 120. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse6040120.

Zimmaro, P., Kwak, D.Y., Stewart, J.P., Brandenberg, S.J., Balakrishnan, A., Jongejan, R. , Ausilio, E., Dente, G., Xie, J., Mikami, A. (2017). Procedures from international guidelines for assessing seismic risk to flood control levees. Earthquake Spectra, August 2017, 33(3): 1191-1218. https://doi.org/10.1193/072316EQS117EP.

Jongejan, R.B., Bottema, M. (2017). A new partial factor approach for assessing the reliability of flood defenses. Proc. Seventh International Conference on Flood Management(ICFM7), 5-7 September, Leeds, UK.

Kwak, D.Y., Jongejan, R., Zimmaro, P., Brandenberg, S.J., Stewart, J.P. (2017). Methods for Probabilistic Seismic Levee System Reliability Analysis. ASCE-Geo-Risk 2017: Reliability-Based Design and Code Developments. Geotechnical Special Publication, 283: 140-150.

Zimmaro P., Stewart J.P, Brandenberg S.J., Kwak D.Y., Jongejan R. (2017). System Reliability of Flood Control Levees. Third international conference on performance-based design in earthquake geotechnical engineering, 16-19 July, Vancouver, Canada.

Kwak, D.Y., Jongejan, R., Zimmaro, P., Brandenberg, S.J., Stewart, J.P. (2017). Methods for probabilistic seismic levee system reliability analysis. Proc. Geo-Risk 2017, 4-7 June 2017, Denver, Colorado.

Jongejan, R., Ranasinghe, R., Wainwright, D, Callaghan, D., Reyns. J. (2016). Drawing the line on coastline recession risk. Ocean and Coastal Management, 122: 87-94.

Jongejan, R.B., Maaskant, B. (2015). Quantifying flood risks in the Netherlands. Risk Analysis, 35(2): 252-64.

Ter Horst, W.L.A., Jongejan, R.B. (2015). The importance of domino effects in flood risk assessments: a case study from the VNK2 project. International Journal of River Basin Management: 1-9.

Wainwright, D.J., Ranasinghe, R., Callaghan, D.P., Woodroffe, C.D., Jongejan, R.B., Dougherty, A.J., Rogers, K., Cowell, P.J. (2015). Moving from deterministic towards probabilistic coastal hazard and risk assessment: Development of a modelling framework and application to Narrabeen Beach, New South Wales, Australia. Coastal Engineering, 96: 92-99.

Jongejan, R.B., Slootjes, N., Kok, M. (2015). Lessons learned from the introduction of fully probabilistic flood protection standards in the Netherlands. Proc. Canadian Dam Association 2015 Annual Conference, 5-10 October 2015, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.

Li, F., Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M., Vrijling, J.K., Callaghan, D.P., Jongejan, R.B., Ranasinghe, R. (2014). Probabilistic estimation of coastal dune erosion and recession by statistical simulation of storm events. Applied Ocean Research, 47: 53-62.

Li, F., Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M., Ranasinghe, R. Callaghan, D.P., Jongejan, R.B. (2014). Probabilistic modelling of extreme storms along the Dutch coast. Coastal Engineering, 86: 1-13.

Jongejan, R.B., Maaskant, B. (2013). The use of quantitative risk analysis for prioritizing flood risk management actions in the Netherlands. Proc. Canadian Dam Association 2013 Annual Conference, 5-10 October 2013, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Jongejan, R.B., Calle, E.O.F. (2013). Calibrating semi-probabilistic safety assessments rules for flood defences. Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards. 7(2): 88-98.

Abrahamsen, E.B., Røed, W., Jongejan, R.B. (2013). A practical approach for the evaluation of acceptable risk in road tunnels. Journal of Risk Research, 16(5): 625-633.

Jongejan, R.B., Stefess, H., Roode, N., Ter Horst, W., Maaskant, B., (2012). The VNK2-project: a fully probabilistic risk analysis for all major levee systems in the Netherlands. Floods: From Risk to Opportunity, IAHS Red Book.

Ranasinghe, R., Jongejan, R.B., Callaghan, D., Vrijling, H. (2012). An innovative approach to determine economically optimal coastal setback lines for risk informed coastal zone management. Proc. 8th International Conference on Coastal and Port Engineering in Developing Countries (COPEDEC 2012), 20-24 Feb. 2012, IIT Madras, Chennai, India.

Jongejan, R.B., Jonkman, S.N., Vrijling, J.K. (2012). The safety chain: A delusive concept. Safety Science, 50(5): 1299-1303.

Jongejan, R.B., Calle, E.O.F., Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M. (2012). The development of semi-probabilistic rules for levee safety assessments. Proc. Floodrisk 2012, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Jongejan, R.B., Maaskant, B. (2012). Applications of VNK2, a fully probabilistic risk analysis for all major levee systems in the Netherlands. Proc. Floodrisk 2012, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Jongejan, R.B. (2012). The VNK2-project: Quantifying flood risks in the Netherlands. Proc. PSAM12/ESREL, 25-29 June, Helsinki, Finland.

Jongejan, R.B. (2012). Risico en voorzorg (On risk and precaution). In: Ale, B.J.M., Muller, E.R., Ronner, A. (eds.). Risico: Risico en risicomanagement in Nederland. Part 1, chapter 4. ISBN9789013100112. Kluwer: 103-120.

Jongejan, R.B., Ranasinghe, R., Vrijling, J.K., Callaghan, D. (2011). A risk-informed approach to coastal zone management. Australian Journal of Civil Engineering, 9(1): 47-60.

Jonkman, S.N., Jongejan, R.B., Maaskant, B. (2011). The use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy: nationwide estimates of societal risk and policy applications. Risk Analysis, 31(2), 282-300.

Jongejan, R.B., Jonkman, S.N., Aven, T., Ale, B.J.M. (2011) Propositions for using risk acceptance criteria. International Journal for Business Continuity and Risk Management, 2(1): 80-90.

Jonkman, S.N., Jongejan, R.B., Maaskant, B., Vrijling, H. (2010). New safety standards for coastal flood defences in the Netherlands. Proc. 32nd International Conference on Coastal Engineering (ICCE2010), Jun. 3-Jul. 5, 2010, Shanghai, China.

Jongejan, R.B., Helsloot, I., Beerens, R.J.J, Vrijling, J.K. (2011). How prepared is prepared enough?. Disasters, 35(1): 130-142.

Jongejan, R.B., Jonkman, S.N., Maaskant, B. (2009). The potential use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 1): basic principles. In: R. Bris, C.G. Soares, S. Martorell (eds.) Reliability, Risk and Safety, proc. ESREL2009.

Maaskant, B., Jonkman, S.N., Jongejan, R.B. (2009). The potential use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 2): the estimation of individual and societal risks for dike rings in the Netherlands. In: R. Bris, C.G. Soares, S. Martorell (eds.) Reliability, Risk and Safety, proc. ESREL2009.

Jongejan, R., Vrijling, H. and Jonkman, B. (2008). Bestuurders geboeid door de veiligheidsketen. Openbaar Bestuur, 2: 2-3.

Jongejan, R.B., Ranasinghe, R.(2009). Estabilishing setback lines for land-use planning: a risk-informed approach. Proc. Coasts Ports 2009, New Zealand.

Jongejan, R.B. (2008). How safe is safe enough? The government's response to industrial and flood risks. PhD-Thesis, ISBN978-90-9023432-8.

Jongejan, R. and Barrieu, P. (2008). Insuring Large-Scale Floods in the Netherlands. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 33: 250-268.